Late Season Baseball Futures
About this time of year the futures wagers in Major League Baseball start tightening up. It becomes more difficult to find value with six weeks left in the season. Hopefully you are riding some early and mid-season positions well into profitability. If not, this is just about your last chance to finagle a decent position on an MLB division contract. There are a few divisions still up for grabs. As usual, the best bets are fading the leaders and backing some longshots who are still mathematically in the hunt.
It’s been a weird season. The Yankees climbed out of the seller showing great promise only to completely fall apart in the last couple of weeks. If you are one of the many sports bettors who have not been sold on the Devil Rays and have been selling them all season, you are starting to worry right about now. With the Yankees hitting the wall and Manny gone from the Red Sox lineup, it isn’t so far-fetched any more that they could win the division. Interesting as this situation is, the sports bettor must look to other divisions to find value. In fact the whole American League has dried up as far as decent division-winner bets goes.
Looking to the National League, the best pennant race is in the East. The Mets are only two games in first but are selling in the low 60’s on Tradesports. That means selling this contract is a wager offering 2-1 odds that they blow it. Seeing as both the Marlins and Phili are within 5 games of them still, that might be a decent bet. Please note that simply betting on Phili to win gives you the same odds, but by selling the Mets you also have Florida working for you - which at 14-1 odds coming from 4.5 games back to take the division isn’t a bad bet either (assuming you can buy them around 7).
The other interesting development is in the NL West. While the Dodgers and the Cardinals are tied for first, the Tradesports contract price has Arizona at around 45 and L.A. at 55. Why? In a word: Manny. That guy has the Dodgers contracts all hyped up - and as you know, winning sports bettors sell the hype. Take the Diamondbacks to win the division and enjoy a small edge.
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