Tips for Betting Pre-season NFL
Don’t look now but we are right smack in the middle of pre-season NFL football. Most smart sports bettors avoid wagering on these games like the plague, but for a really savvy player there is value to be found. And it doesn’t require any more inside knowledge than you can find reading the major sports websites and watching Sportscenter. The most important thing is understanding the situation; that is, knowing which teams don’t care about winning the game. That’s the key.
The truth is, most teams do care about winning because it’s good for team morale. So you need to concentrate on finding the relatively few matchups where one team doesn’t care about winning. Ironically, it’s usually one of the better teams that fits this bill. They aren’t too worried about winning all their pre-season games because they already know they are a top NFL team. If their starters have been getting a lot of time in past games and they have been winning, you can look for that team to give their second string a good workout while no longer risking injuries to their starters.
This is especially true as you get to the latter part of the preseason - specifically, right now. Look to fade the juggernauts this week, especially ones that have been winning and have a solid winning lineup with no recent changes. Note that this specifically leaves out the Jets! While it’s never a great idea to bet against Brett Favre when he’s fired up about something, the Jets are out to make a statement in the preseason this year and should not be bet against (that doesn’t necessarily mean to bet on them either).
Another good preseason tip is to lean towards underdogs that are getting a half-point more than a key football number. That means the 3.5, 4.5, 7.5, and 10.5 dogs are generally good candidates to bet on. And it just so happens that the strong teams who no longer care about winning in the preseason will often be favorites by one of those numbers! Nice how this all comes together, huh?
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