Mid Season NFL Betting Tips
The second half of the NFL season is almost always different from the first half, for the most part. A smart bettor takes advantage of this knowledge. The losing public doesn’t. Typical sports bettors keep doing the same thing season after season, as well as second half after first half within the season. They are the reason the bookies have such a lucrative profession. Hopefully you are not one of them. Hopefully you understand that the NFL is not like the NCAA, in the respect that everybody is a professional player and all teams are professional teams.
That may not sound like it means much, but it does. No team in the NFL is toooo much better than any other team, and no team in the NFL is toooo much worse than any other team regardless of the records, with a few exceptions. More on the exceptions in a moment. For now, just consider how those teams that you thought were powerhouses early in the season have faltered under closer scrutiny (think Cowboys), and how the doormats have come to life when you least expected it (think Rams).
That is what you can expect the first half of the season. After all, they are all professional players. First impressions in any given season can usually be profitably bet against during weeks three through six. This year was no exception. However what happens now is that another trap for the typical sports bettor gets set. He thinks he can start betting against conventional logic at this point, after the fact. Unfortunately that ship has now sailed.
The rest of the season will start to get in line with what has proven to be true thus far. All of it. And the betting line will reflect it. It’s about to get tougher folks. The smart sports bettor now must survive on small edges and avoid the whipsaws in thinking that the typical public sports bettor is going through.
If you have a Tradesports account this is going to be a lot easier for you. Finding small edges is child’s play there. The public betting money will often be lopsided, creating a natural overlay on one side. That means you can often get +110, +115, or even better on a fair betting line. Everybody else is laying -110 on a fair betting line. It doesn’t matter what side of a fair betting line you are on, just ask the bookies.
But there is something else the rest of you can do. This is where we get back to the exception I mentioned earlier. Usually the true worst team in the league will have proved their intention on claiming that title by now. As a result they will have changed their psychological outlook, and will have accepted their label as losers. This can be profitably wagered on the rest of the regular season.
There is no doubt in my mind that the Detroit Lions will by some miracle win a game this season. However if you start betting on them, you may very well go broke chasing that win. Why not bet against them the rest of the season instead and win all the other games? If you have a Tradesports account you can only take positions against the Lions where you are getting even money or better against a fair point spread. So you’ll have both math and losing psychology working in your favor. That, my friends, is how it’s done.
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